I'm briefly breaking my silence to point people to a few sources of information on the current campaign that I have found either especially useful or especially moving.
First is my favorite horse-race polling website, http://www.fivethirtyeight.com The author is a well-respected SABRmetric (baseball statistic) guy at baseballprospectus whom I trust from his non-political regression modeling work that I followed for a few years. I recommend it for perspective whenever you feel worried (or wonder if you should feel worried) by some piece of polling data that you hear. The ~2 points that the lack of cell phones in most polls is costing Obama is quite heartening.
Secondly, and most importantly, is this clip of McCain. To say that it is shocking does not do it justice. I only hope that everyone takes the time to watch it, hopefully sitting down, and possibly with a stiff drink. Be afraid. Be very afraid.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_TiQCJXp bKg
First is my favorite horse-race polling website, http://www.fivethirtyeight.com The author is a well-respected SABRmetric (baseball statistic) guy at baseballprospectus whom I trust from his non-political regression modeling work that I followed for a few years. I recommend it for perspective whenever you feel worried (or wonder if you should feel worried) by some piece of polling data that you hear. The ~2 points that the lack of cell phones in most polls is costing Obama is quite heartening.
Secondly, and most importantly, is this clip of McCain. To say that it is shocking does not do it justice. I only hope that everyone takes the time to watch it, hopefully sitting down, and possibly with a stiff drink. Be afraid. Be very afraid.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_TiQCJXp
